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Australia is set for its strongest Olympic Games in 20 years, according to the 2024 medal forecasts

Experts predict that the Aussie team will bring home a total of 54 Olympic medals this year

Melissa Woodley
Written by
Melissa Woodley
Travel & News Editor, Time Out Australia
Champs-Élysées, Paris, France at night
Photograph: Craig Philbrick via Unsplash
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As the hype ramps up for yet another Olympic Games (where did the last four years go?), experts have placed their bets on who will take home the gold. It’s looking promising for our green and gold team, with the latest projections from data specialist Gracenote tipping Australia to crack the top five on the overall medal table. 

According to their forecasts, Australia is on track for its best Olympics in two decades, with a predicted 54 medal wins. If the Aussie team can hit this tally, it will smash the 46 medals we won at the most recent Tokyo Games. We’d also bump up our placing on the total medal tally from sixth place in 2021 (which Gracenote was spot on in predicting) to fifth place in 2024.

Of the total 54 medals, the experts anticipate that Australia will secure 15 gold, 23 silver and 16 bronze. We’ll rely heavily on our flipper friends in the pool for majority of the golds, including Kaylee McKeown, Cameron McEvoy and Ariarne Titmus, along with Jessica Fox in the Canoe slalom. Australia is also pitted for podium success in the BMX freestyle, road cycling, sailing, track and field, diving, rowing, skateboarding and tennis, along with the women’s rugby sevens and hockey events. 

Although it’s impossible to foresee how the events will actually unfold, Gracenote’s Virtual Medal Table predictions are based on individual and team results in previous Olympic Games, World Championships and World Cups.

The United States is set to dominate the medal tally in Paris, yet again, with a projected 112 total medals. If achieved, this would make it their eighth consecutive Olympic Games win. China is expected to secure the second spot with 86 medals, followed by Great Britain with 63 and France with 60 – which would be the best Games performance for the host nation since 1990. 

Want to know how you can watch the 2024 Paris Olympics in Australia? Check out our ultimate guide

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